| Measuring Consumers’ Willingness to Pay: Do Direct Approaches Really Work? (76 pages) |
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In the present paper we analyze the direct survey approach to elicit hypothetical willingness to pay in a marketing context. Although the direct survey approach has been neglected and is seen as being inferior to indirect approaches by marketing academia, it is widely used in market research practice. Hence, from the standpoint of a marketing researcher, the question arises if the direct survey approaches really work.
As a first attempt to answer this question, we conduct an empirical study and analyze the direct survey approach in a marketing context among 2,048 consumers. Statistically, we find evidence for biased results. Economically, we analyze how well the direct survey approach can be used for business decision making such as setting the profit-maximizing price in a monopoly and forecasting the quantity sold as well as profits. We find the direct survey approach to be able to yield good (not statistically different) estimates for profit-maximizing price and quantity, which may explain the use of the methods in applied market research.
Based on literature, theory, and the findings of this study, we further present three methods to improve the results of the direct survey approach ex-post. All three methods are able to improve the validity of the business decisions.
We conclude that even though the direct approach shows statistically biased results, it is able to guide the marketing manager to good business decisions.
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| How Should We Measure Consumers’ Willingness to Pay? An Empirical Comparison of State-of-the-Art Approaches (85 pages) |
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A precise knowledge of consumers’ WTP is instrumental in economic theory and practice. Market researchers can choose among a variety of methods to determine WTP. However, prior literature provides little guidance on the choice of the appropriate approach to valid WTP measurement.
In our study among 1,124 consumers, we address this research deficit and assess four state-of-the-art approaches to measure consumers’ WTP with regard to their external validity and economic outcomes. Specifically, we compare the open-ended question format, conjoint analysis, the BDM mechanism, incentive-aligned conjoint-analysis, and real purchase data.
Our statistical analysis shows that hypothetical WTP approaches are not always biased. Specifically, our results indicate a significant mean bias for both hypothetical approaches. However, we only find a biased demand curve for hypothetical conjoint analysis, whereas directly stated WTP from an open-ended question format yields unbiased results with regard to estimating consumers’ demand. Moreover, we did not find a bias for the incentive-aligned methods, the BDM mechanism and incentive-aligned conjoint analysis, which indicates a high external validity of these approaches.
With regard to our economic analysis, we find that all methods yield valid estimates of optimal price and quantity. However, only incentive-aligned methods are able to give valid forecasts of optimal profits.
Our results can guide market researchers to select the appropriate WTP measurement approach for their business decisions.
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| Who Should We Ask When Measuring Consumers’ Willingness to Pay For Product Innovations? (70 pages) |
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When eliciting price preferences (WTP) for product innovations, researchers mainly apply hypothetical survey methods. Such hypothetical survey methods, however, are found to yield biased results. In order to reduce this bias, prior research mainly focuses on improving the survey methodology (i.e. the “how” to ask for consumers’ WTP).
In the present study, we propose a different approach to reduce the bias in hypothetical WTP measurement. We argue that respondent specific characteristics, motives, and traits (e.g. the “who” to ask) might play an important role when consumers’ WTP is measured for product innovations.
Based on literature and an exploratory qualitative pretest study, we develop a conceptual framework of consumers’ characteristics, motives, and traits that might explain the hypothetical bias. Confirmatory factor analysis shows highly significant effects on the hypothetical bias by the two factors consumers’ certainty in the WTP statement and the degree of strategic answering behavior. Based on these findings, we develop a data-cutting approach that is able to remove the bias to an insignificant level. We validate this approach in a second dataset.
As the present study shows, respondents’ characteristics, motivs, or traits (the “who”) play an important role when it comes to measuring WTP for product innovations. Market researchers are well advised to take consumers’ certainty in the answer and their strategic answering behavior into account when evaluating such WTP survey data.
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| The Importance of Involvement for the Direct Measurement of Consumers’ Willingness to Pay (49 pages) |
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| Knowledge of consumers’ willingness to pay is essential for the successful pricing of new and existing products. This study addresses the issue, under what circumstances a direct measurement approach can reveal consumers’ true willingness to pay. Based on a conceptual discussion and an empirical survey, the authors argue that this issue is not related to the choice of alternative direct question formats but rather related to respondents’ involvement: The authors show that the direct measurement approach can provide a valid instrument to measure willingness to pay in the case of highly involved consumers. This finding has important implications for applied market research, since the direct measurement approach can provide a time- and cost-efficient alternative to indirect measurement approaches such as conjoint measurement, if respondents are highly involved in the underlying product.
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